Tuesday, September 2, 2014

The Wisdom of Arrogance: Predictions for the 2014 Season, AFC Edition

Forget the formalities, folks! FOOTBALL SEASON STARTS IN TWO DAYS!! We don’t have time to talk about a bunch of random (although hilarious) stuff that I just spout off the top of my head! We’ve only got two days to lay down all of the Redding Report’s biased, arbitrary, sickeningly arrogant yet always correct predictions for this upcoming season. We can’t have your brains overloading right before you’re going to stuff them chock-full of NFL goodness, so we’ll cover the AFC today and worry about the NFC tomorrow. But first, a segment I like to call “The Hard Life of a Patriots Fan”.
The Hard Life of a Patriots Fan
On August 26, Bill Belicheck traded Pro Bowl guard and long-time Patriot Logan Mankins to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for tight end Tim Wright and a fourth-round draft pick. Effectively, he tore out the hearts of Patriots fans everywhere. Mankins was the unchallenged leader of New England’s O-line and sworn protector of their most important player. Even Tom Brady was upset, commenting “Logan was a great friend of mine. Nobody stood for Patriot football more than him” and added, “Yeah, I dealt with whatever feelings I had last week, but I’ve moved on”. You can’t upset Tommy, Bill! As a Patriots fan, you live life with the constant fear of The Hoodie trading away some beloved veteran. Just like in 2001 when he sent star safety Lawyer Milloy packing, and then the Patriots won the Super Bowl. We are an oppressed people, but alas, In Bill We Trust.
It’s hard to hold the tears back after reading that, I know. But we’ve got to move on! From here on, our only topics of discussion will be who with think (sorry, KNOW) is going to win each AFC division, grab the six available playoff spots, lead the conference in stats categories, win individual honors, and of course, go to the Super Bowl. Let it begiiiiiiiiiiiin!
Division Winners
AFC South: This one is a no-brainer. Just like the days when Peyton Manning led their offense up and down the field, Andrew Luck and the Colts have no real competition within their division. The Bortles-led Jaguars will be as irrelevant as the anybody-led Jaguars have ever been (except you, Mark Brunell), albeit possibly exciting. The Texans may be able to rally and split their series with Indy if they can figure out who their starting quarterback is and he actually plays well. Either way, my vote is cast 100% for the Colts to win the AFC South.
AFC East: I’ll take this time to point out that “biased” and “sickeningly arrogant” were both listed in the descriptions of this year’s predictions. Don’t say it…..don’t say…that rhymed! Sorry, had to say it. Anyway with that being said, you already know I’m choosing the Patriots to stand alone atop this division. The Jets suck, the Dolphins suck, and the Bills suck too. With New England’s acquisition of Revis and Browner in the offseason, along with a healthy Gronkowski returning and all of Tom Brady’s receivers coming back, it looks like the Pats are ready to burn the AFC East to the ground.
AFC North: Last season I picked the Bengals to win their first division title in quite a few years, and I was right. Told you so. As the most complete team in the North, I believe Cincinnati will earn the division crown once again. Cincy had depth at the cornerback and running back positions, two of the most important in today’s NFL. Especially in the North, where they will have to stop receivers like Torrey Smith, Antonio Brown, and Josh…oh wait. Baltimore will probably finish a close second, but their shaky running back situation will make them more dependent on Joe Flacco, which is never good news for anybody.
AFC West: You might think I’m crazy, but I’m going with the Chargers to win this division. Madness, you say? Just hold tight, my friend. Last season Peyton Manning gave absolutely everything he had to win the Super Bowl and came up just short. “Just short” is a term which here means “got stomped out so bad that they might have had a better game if they decided not to show up”.  Now Eric Decker has left town, Wes Welker has suffered yet another concussion, Knowshon Moreno is soaking up the South Beach sun, and Peyton Manning is just another old man with a huge forehead. Meanwhile, Philip Rivers is at the peak of his game, Keenan Allen is going to be the best receiver in the division, and San Diego’s secondary is young and talented. You heard it here first.
Playoff Spots
1.      New England Patriots
2.      Cincinnati Bengals
3.      San Diego Chargers
4.      Indianapolis Colts
5.      Denver Broncos
6.      Kansas City Chiefs/Baltimore Ravens/Miami Dolphins

That last spot isn’t a cop-out, just a representation of how close the AFC playoffs race been in the last few years. Last season four different teams were still fighting for a spot in Week 17, and a missed field goal decided the outcome.
Stats Leaders
Passing Yards
1.      Tom Brady- 4,756 yards
2.      Philip Rivers- 4,460 yards
3.      Andrew Luck- 4,300 yards
Rushing Yards
1.   Jamaal Charles- 1,325 yards
2.   Ben Tate- 1,215 yards
3.   Giovani Bernard- 1,120 yards
You might be surprised to see Tate’s name in that second spot, but I believe that stepping out of Arian Foster’s shadow behind one of the NFL’s best offensive lines will allow him to have a breakout season. Just watch.
Receiving Yards
1.   A.J. Green- 1,625 yards
2.   Antonio Brown- 1,545 yards
3.   Demaryius Thomas- 1,360 yards
Antonio Brown was second in the NFL with 1,499 yards (behind Josh Gordon) last season. With Emmanuel Sanders now in Denver and Josh Gordon now on his couch, Brown’s excellent route-running and otherworldly speed could make him the most productive receiver in the league this season, but don’t count out that kid in Cincinnati.
Interceptions
1.   Devin McCourty- 7
2.   Joe Haden- 7
3.   Kiko Alonso/Jamie Collins- 5
Individual Awards
MVP- Tom Brady
Offensive Rookie of the Year- Sammy Watkins
Defensive Rookie of the Year- Darqueze Dennard
Offensive Player of the Year: A.J. Green
Defensive Player of the Year: Vontaze Burfict
Comeback Player of the Year: Darelle Revis
And last but not least, representing the AFC in Super Bowl XLIX, the New England Patriots! Now before you blame my bias, consider that last year New England reached the AFC Championship with inexperienced receivers and a secondary that couldn’t handle potent passing attacks. Now, with what might be the AFC’s best secondary and Tom Brady’s top five targets from 2013 healthy and comfortable in the system, I don’t see a team this side of Seattle that can stop them.
Well, folks, I’m on record now. Should these prognostications prove to be misguided (which they won’t) feel free to make fun of me from Super Bowl Sunday til’ the opening week of the 2015 season. However, when my predictions prove to be spot on like they always do, expect another “I Told You So” column coming your way. Victory is always so, so sweet. Be sure to check in tomorrow for our NFC predictions and break out your jerseys because the Seahawks are hosting the Packers this Thursday night, 8:30 p.m. EST on NBC. Until next time!





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