Friday, November 15, 2013

My struggles with Historic Proximity Syndrome, some bad decisions, and the Mission Bay Bucs: Week 11 Picks

Last night I was in a fancy restaurant on the island of Alameda (adjacent to Oakland), hosting a fundraising dinner for the school assemblies team that I am a part of. No more than 20 minutes away, Andre Iguadola was hitting a game-winning jumper to give the Warriors a one-point lead over the Thunder. It kind of felt like the time a friend invited me to fly out to New York and spend the weekend with him, paid for completely by his family…and my mom said no. End of story. This morning, as I was perusing the shelves at a comic book store here on the island, the local news informed me that Make A Wish had turned San Francisco into Gotham City to fulfill one kid’s dream. San Francisco is about 15 minutes away from Alameda, yet here I am writing this instead of cheering on Bat Kid. What would you call this? Historic Proximity Syndrome? Always right around the corner from a great event but never witnessing it. I have Historic Proximity Syndrome.
As you probably know, Ed Reed was released by the Houston Texans a few days ago. Ever since that moment, I had been excitedly awaiting the announcement of his arrival in New England. I mean it was perfect, Ed Reed is one of Belicheck’s all-time favorite players and our secondary has suffered some injuries, so what’s the problem? Well, yesterday morning I thought that moment had finally come when, while watching NFL Network, I saw “ts reach greement with sa Ed Reed” (the TV was on a weird zoom setting). Assuming my dream had come true, I hopped onto Twitter only to discover that he had been signed by the jets. The Jets?! I felt like I had been eyeing a taken girl for years, heard that she finally dropped her loser boyfriend, and then got a text from her saying that she was now dating the only person on Earth I would never ever want to see her with. Tragic.
You’ve probably noticed by now that this isn’t going to be a regular picks column, and you’d be right to assume this, because it isn’t. Of course, we do still have to address the games this Sunday, so let’s get to it. Per usual, the projected winners will be listed in bold. Sponsored by the Redding Report Crystal Ball of Athletic Clairvoyance©
Ø  The Titans really made me believe in them last night, but the Colts had luck on their side. No, literally, Luck plays for the Colts. See what I did there?
Ø  The Jets have a strong defense that can contain CJ Spiller, which will shut down the entire Bills offense. Plus, Ed Reed will be lurking in that secondary (drowning in my own tears)
Ø  They may have stopped Cincinnati from completely dominating the AFC North, but the Ravens are still an afterthought. Despite losing Charles Tillman for the season, the Bears shouldn’t have much trouble adding another W to their calendar.
Ø  I fully expect the Bengals to win this Sunday, although it won’t be easy against a Cleveland team that features one of the league’s best defenses. If the Browns do pull the upset, things are going to get real iffy in the AFC North.
Ø  I’m going to give the Texans the edge at home, and that’s about 99% because of Case Keenum. With a gunslinger mentality that Matt Schaub never had, Keenum has continued the work started in his high-scoring Houston U days. Without a consistent running game or effective o-line, Oakland may not win again this season.
Ø  I’m expecting two touchdowns just from the Cardinals’ defense in this one. The Jags may have avoided 0-16, but they’re still the picture of failure in the NFL.
Ø  This game could be closer than you and I think it’ll be, but ultimately I see the Redskins winning this one. Somehow Philly is still going to win the division, though.
Ø  After seeing the Patriots go to town on Pittsburgh’s defense a couple of weeks ago, I lost all confidence in that unit. Detroit’s diverse attack may put up 60 on these guys.
Ø  Neither Tampa Bay nor Atlanta has exactly been experiencing a dream season, but I think Mike Glennon wants to convince Arthur Blank that he doesn’t need to look for a QB come May.
Ø  I’m very wary of this matchup, but San Diego should win this one if they can avoid shooting themselves in the foot for at least three quarters. If Rivers can give the ball to an actual running back on the goal line and get the ball to Keenan Allen, the Chargers will leave Miami with smiles on their faces.
Ø  I’m sure everyone remembers the epic playoff game these two teams had back in Alex Smith’s day, but the Saints and 49ers are different teams now. Namely, the San Francisco offense in struggling and New Orleans is featuring a real-life defense. A great day for fantasy owners all around.
Ø  The Giants have always been the scum of the earth in my opinion, so there’s really no chance that I would ever pick them. On a side note, today the Packers were mentioned as “A.J. Hawk and the Packers” in a DirecTV promo. How much did his mom pay for that one, I wonder?
Ø  Football’s Messiah Russell Wilson and the Seahawks should have no problem dispatching the Vikings, but it may be that much more fun to watch if Percy Harvin can adjust to this team quickly enough. Also, Seattle’s run defense hasn’t been at their best this season; look for A.P. to have a great day despite the loss.
Ø  Remember when the Packers were having a juggernaut season and somehow the lowly Chiefs managed to beat them? The KC defense is built to stop pass-happy teams, and it’s even better now than it was then. Not to mention that they love pressuring the quarterback and Peyton Manning can barely walk right now. Mark my words, the Chiefs will be 10-0.
Ø  Okay, I realize that this Monday night matchup with the Panthers seems to be the perfect setup for a Patriots loss, but consider this: how many times in the past few years have you doubted New England? Of those times, how often did you end up feeling foolish for doing so? You can’t stop destiny folks. #PatriotsVSSeahawksSuperBowl48
And that’s it for this week’s picks, my friends. Only a few more weeks and every team will be playing every week again! Because you were wondering, our picks record is now 87-64 following quite a bad week of picks by our staff (don’t worry, still just me). Anyway, did you hear that Adrian Peterson said he doesn’t want to be traded out of Minnesota? That’s like me saying “No, I think I’m going to ride Brian Leonard for the rest of the season, you can keep Jamaal Charles”. FOOLISH. Hey, speaking of fantasy football…
Fantasy Sob Story of the Week:
I was in first place, you guys. First place in my Pride league. With the same record as my Broncos-fanatic buddy Chris and the tie breaker from an early-season matchup, I was sitting pretty atop the standings. Then the Broncos played against the Chargers, and because Chris has about player on their roster, I fell back to number two. But let me tell you, it was so much fun at the top. Hopefully, I’ll be back soon.
Expert Fantasy Football Advice from a Fantasy Football Expert
·         If you’ve been enjoying the production of the KC defense all season, now is not the time to turn tail. Peyton Manning is intimidating, sure, but this defense was built to stop him and his evil minions.
·         I checked the waivers in my league last week, and somehow nobody had Tavon Austin. Somehow, despite being eighth on the waiver order, I won that claim. Austin is a good flex if the other guys in your league are equally as oblivious.
·         We all know that Trent Richardson is pretty much worthless, so go ahead and pick up Donald Brown. The Colts will be leaning on him more to try and keep a balance to control the flow of games more.
·         I spotlighted Kenny Stills a few weeks back, but in case you forgot, Drew Brees loves throwing deep to this guy. Once again, DREW BREES LOVES THROWING TO THIS PERSON.
·         You’ve heard of Bobby Rainey, right? Just kidding, I know you haven’t. However, if you’re hurting for a flex man, don’t be afraid to consider Tampa Bay’s newest off-the-bench spark plug.
Before we wrap things up here, allow me to introduce a new section that we’ll be running over the next few weeks, Mission Bay’s Road to CIF. This will be a focus on this football team of my alma mater, Mission Bay High, as they try to make their good on their 9-1 regular season with a CIF Championship. The Bucs got off to a good start tonight with a 41-16 win over Brawley. With plenty of points through the air, Mission Bay made sure Brawley never had a chance. They will face a tough test next week when they face Madison, their only loss during the regular season. Can they overcome this division rival on the way to a championship? We’ll find out next week, folks! Go Bucs!
And there we have it, everything you wanted to know and probably much, much, more. Will our picks hold up? Will Bobby Rainey carry you to a win this Sunday? Does Adrian Peterson really not want to be traded? (Because I mean, really? C’mon). Feel free to share any thoughts with us in the comments section or on Twitter at @GSRudy. Until next time!


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